Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.232195 0.267223 0.304880 0.348271 0.396781 0.449236 0.510137
2026-02-08 0.174453 0.221332 0.275843 0.343470 0.424641 0.518439 0.634494
2026-02-15 0.132925 0.185182 0.250621 0.337517 0.448681 0.584835 0.762754
2026-02-22 0.107077 0.162864 0.237676 0.343310 0.486264 0.670389 0.922409
2026-03-01 0.084510 0.140145 0.219879 0.339215 0.509377 0.738837 1.066250
2026-03-08 0.068462 0.123297 0.206955 0.339065 0.536556 0.813953 1.224456
2026-03-15 0.054888 0.107289 0.192278 0.333579 0.554425 0.876593 1.369533
2026-03-22 0.047853 0.100528 0.190619 0.347123 0.601040 0.983235 1.584217
2026-03-29 0.041975 0.094513 0.189022 0.360077 0.647323 1.092203 1.809213
2026-04-05 0.035590 0.086122 0.181848 0.362430 0.676250 1.176133 2.001398
2026-04-12 0.029930 0.077874 0.173489 0.361318 0.698715 1.250766 2.183137
2026-04-19 0.025200 0.070479 0.165455 0.359484 0.719210 1.322906 2.364481
2026-04-26 0.021166 0.063781 0.157891 0.357866 0.740410 1.398571 2.557942
2026-05-03 0.017734 0.057646 0.150449 0.355449 0.759759 1.472266 2.752572
2026-05-10 0.014725 0.051755 0.142486 0.350843 0.774361 1.538464 2.938268
2026-05-17 0.012919 0.048648 0.140266 0.357784 0.811378 1.646066 3.200042
2026-05-24 0.010806 0.043997 0.133554 0.354127 0.827104 1.716254 3.400572
2026-05-31 0.009216 0.040452 0.128897 0.354333 0.850362 1.801288 3.631295
2026-06-07 0.007645 0.036412 0.122180 0.348857 0.861235 1.863639 3.824340
2026-06-14 0.007018 0.035512 0.123732 0.363063 0.914564 2.009161 4.174921
2026-06-21 0.006428 0.034559 0.124969 0.376606 0.967424 2.156502 4.535350
2026-06-28 0.005580 0.032268 0.121929 0.379104 0.996240 2.258465 4.816019
2026-07-05 0.004758 0.029745 0.117698 0.377983 1.016768 2.344997 5.071409